From economics to ecosystems: Kevin Berry’s calculations help evaluate risks

Kevin Berry is a member of the Council’s Terminal Operations and Environmental Monitoring Committee. The committee works to identify actual and potential sources of episodic and chronic pollution at the Valdez Marine Terminal.

A first glance at Kevin Berry’s work history looks a little random. His curriculum vitae is sprinkled with a wide variety of topics, from disease, species loss, fisheries, to weather.

“Typically, if you look at an engineer or physical scientist, they might specialize in a species, or a place, or a specific thing.” Berry says that as an economist, there is a social science aspect to what he does. “I’m interested in a type of decision, and a type of human behavior, how people respond to looming catastrophic risks.”

Berry says the common thread in what he studies is that there is something that can be done about the risk. He uses Lyme disease as an example.

“You can change your behavioral patterns and spend less time where there are ticks,” he says. “You can wear different types of clothing or you can get medical treatment after getting sick.”

Berry says this is a pattern of three broad strategies that are used in response to risk: prevention, adaptation, and mitigation.

“We can invest in prevention to keep the bad thing from occurring,” says Berry. “We can invest in infrastructure and training practices, the things that make it less likely we’ll have a problem.”

“We can adapt to a problem,” adds Berry. “Basically, we can make it so that if it does occur, it’s not as bad.”

“And then we can mitigate things once they happen,” Berry concludes. “We can clean up afterwards to avoid negative impacts.”

Berry attended the University of Wyoming where he received a bachelor’s and Ph.D. in resource economics. He’s currently a Professor of Economics at the University of Alaska Anchorage, where he chairs their Economics Department.

He works with economic models that help analyze tradeoffs. These models can help make decisions when options aren’t easy to compare. There are different models that can help adapt to random occurrences that affect a decision.

“They’re cool math problems,” Berry says. “Every time we change a little bit, we have to find a new strategy. You can turn a really complicated thing into a really neat problem, where we can talk about the returns to preventing disasters in the same way we’d talk about investing in the stock market.”

He gives an example related to early childhood education. Berry serves as the current Board president for Thread, a local nonprofit that works to advance the quality of early education and child development, and on the board of the Anchorage Child Care and Early Education Fund. He started volunteering because he’s a father of three kids, but the topic also piqued his professional interests.

“We can think of childcare and early education as prevention for a lot of other social ills,” Berry says. “We know from various economic research at the University of Chicago and James Heckman’s Institute that there is a massive return in reduced criminal activity, higher educational outcomes, and better career outcomes.”

That curiosity and drive to use his talents to make a difference also brought him to the Council. One of the Council’s main priorities is to reduce the risk of oil spills. It’s important to understand all the options and tradeoffs.

“Obviously, every time we recommend an improvement or investment, for instance, in the response fleet, we’re hoping to make a potential spill less severe,” Berry says. “We want balance to make sure that we’re getting the most risk reduction for the time and effort.”

Volunteer Spotlight: Where physics meets the sea

Pegau is a member of the Council’s Scientific Advisory Committee, a group of scientists and citizens promoting the environmentally safe operation of the terminal and tankers through independent scientific research, environmental monitoring, and review of scientific work.

W. Scott Pegau wasn’t born in Alaska, but it’s the place that feels like home.

When Pegau was a kid, his family moved to Alaska so his dad could attend the University of Alaska Fairbanks, or UAF. His dad was later hired by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game, so the family stayed.

After graduating from high school in Nome, Pegau joined the Navy for 6 years, then headed to his dad’s alma mater, UAF, and later Oregon State University for graduate school. Pegau chose to major in physics.

“I avoided the natural sciences,” Pegau says. “So we both got a good laugh, because when I did come back up to Alaska, I was hired as a fisheries biologist.”

His journey from physics to fisheries is what makes his background particularly helpful in his role as a member of the Council’s Scientific Advisory Committee.

Atmospheric physics to ocean physics

For a while after undergrad, Pegau worked with atmospheric models at UAF’s Geophysical Institute. He liked the work but found that he missed being close to the ocean. He also found himself interested in the physics of light.

He combined these interests in a Ph.D. in oceanography from Oregon State University, where he focused on how light interacts with ocean water. He also studied how to use remote sensing technologies to gather ocean data.

He uses the colors of the sky and the ocean to explain how light can provide information. Blue light waves scatter across the atmosphere when they encounter particles.

“So when you look up, you see blue.”

He says sunrises and sunsets appear red because red light waves make it far enough into the atmosphere to reach the clouds. Pegau says the ocean appears blue for a different reason.

“Blue light has the greatest chance of reflecting back out of the water because it’s least absorbed.”

He says the light interacts differently according to what’s in the water. Particles or features in the water such as sediments or plankton can be identified by examining how light waves are reflected or absorbed.

“Each particle has a different kind of scattering characteristic,” he says. “If you’re trying to figure out how light transmits through the ocean, you’re trying to put those two things together: How is it being absorbed and how is it being scattered?”

Over the years, he traveled all over the northern hemisphere studying the optical properties of the oceans and looking at remote sensing methods to gain more understanding of the ocean, its currents, and inhabitants.

North to Alaska

In the early 2000s, he came back to a job at Homer’s Kachemak Bay Research Reserve. Finally settling in Cordova, he has coordinated and managed research projects for the Oil Spill Recovery Institute for the last 18 years.

Born out of the aftermath of the Exxon Valdez oil spill, the institute funds research projects that improve oil spill response and seeks to better understand spills’ impacts to people and wildlife.

He’s also authored or co-authored papers on topics including remote sensing of spilled oil, the circulation of ocean currents, and the effects of crude oil on herring. The herring fishery in Prince William Sound disappeared a few years after the Exxon Valdez oil spill and has never fully recovered.

As he now prepares to retire, he’s excited to finish up a study on how the atmosphere and ocean conditions affect herring populations.

“I’ve really wanted to work on this particular project,” Pegau says. “I’m trying to determine what makes for a good herring year. Different factors come into play. Are the winds holding the larvae near the shore? Is the food the right size or the right type for the larvae?”

Volunteering for the Council

Pegau has been an ex officio member of the Council for many years as part of his work for the institute. He joined the Scientific Advisory Committee this past year, answering the committee’s call for an oceanographer.

He says he’s always appreciated the committee’s commitment to good science. He says their work is important for keeping Prince William Sound safe from spilled oil.

“If you want to protect resources, you better have good information.”

Matt Melton: Preparing for the unexpected

Volunteer Spotlight

Melton and his daughter show off their catch during a recent fishing trip. Photo courtesy of Matt Melton.

Matt Melton, like many others born and raised in Alaska, received an early education in oil spills. He was in fifth grade when he saw people on TV scooping up oil in buckets after the Exxon Valdez spill. His first instinct was to help. He asked his mom to take him to the cleanup but was told there were no hotel rooms in Valdez.

“Little did I know that this incident was going to have such an impact on my career,” he said.

Melton went on to study environmental science and technology at New England College during his undergraduate years, and later a master’s degree in organizational management at the same school. Then the 9/11 attacks happened.
“That was my first exposure to incident management,” Melton said.

New England College was close enough to New York that many students and the surrounding community were affected as many were during that time. As part of his studies, Melton assisted the campus operations team with crisis management planning. That experience set him on a career path in emergency response.

Today, Melton works in emergency response planning and training for PCCI, Inc., a Virginia-based company who maintains response equipment and conducts hazards training and exercises with global response teams.

Incident management, according to Melton, is a simple concept: assess, adapt, adjust, document, execute, and do it again. “It’s about preparing people to quickly and effectively solve complex problems during high-pressure emergencies,” he said.

Melton has responded to emergencies across different industries, ranging from oil spills to the COVID-19 pandemic. A key feature of a response is the Incident Command System, or ICS, a standardized emergency management structure first developed in the early 1970s to coordinate wildfire response. It has since been adopted for all types of emergency management.

Each response is different, and it’s impossible to plan for every detail in advance. He emphasizes that having the right people with the knowledge and experience to adapt is important.

“As soon as we’re done, we’re going to know how to do it,” Melton jokingly tells his trainees.

He pointed to the recent collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore as an example of large-scale emergency coordination. A ship lost power and collided with the bridge. The incident had the potential for major disruptions to regional and national transportation and economics.

“That was a massive collaboration of different entities. There were multiple entities represented in the Unified Command. You would think it would be crazy, but it went really smooth.”

Melton says training plays a critical role in effective response.

“People who don’t understand ICS get hung up on little things or let ego get in the way,” he said. “In Alaska, we train so much and focus on key operational aspects to achieve the objectives of the response.”

Melton sees a similar commitment to preparedness in the Council, where he serves as vice chair of the Oil Spill Prevention and Response Committee.

“We have a range of maritime and response experts who work who work hard to support the committee’s mission,” he said.

Melton volunteers for the Council because of what’s at stake.

“That pipeline and the ships that come in and out of Port Valdez represent a piece of the financial lifeblood of Alaska,” he said. “After any response, especially the Exxon Valdez, we learn a lot of hard lessons,” he said. “The RCACs, whether it’s Cook Inlet or Prince William Sound, don’t let folks forget where we ended and how we don’t want to go back there again.”

Melton adds that the industry and regulatory representatives who participate in the committee’s meetings are an important part of the process.

“They’re some of the biggest advocates for the environment and the people because they understand how critical it is to keep oil safely in the pipeline and on the ships,” he adds. “They don’t want spills any more than we do.”

Cathy Hart: Photographer focuses on fostering environmental stewardship

Long-time Alaskan, and Council volunteer for over 16 years, Cathy Hart has always had a lot of different irons in a lot of different fires. Her passion for telling stories with photographs winds through almost everything she does, including her work on the Council’s Information and Education Committee.

Cathy Hart is a member of the Council’s Information and Education Committee. The committee supports the Council’s mission by fostering public awareness, responsibility, and participation through information and education. The committee sponsors projects such as Masters of Disaster, a special event for kids of all ages to learn about topics related to the Council’s mission. At a recent event, Hart (center) taught Kodiak students about oil spill response.

This passion ignited early, not long after her father’s job as an engineer in the oil industry moved the family to Alaska in the late 1960s. The teenaged Hart was exploring her new home state when she spotted an eagle.

“I watched him dive down and get something on the ground,” she recalls.

She was entranced and wanted to capture that moment. She soon got her first camera as a gift from her father.

She found she was good at capturing action shots. She photographed kids’ sports, theater, and dance, and sold the images. Her passion was for the outdoors though.

“Wildlife was always my true love.”

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